The National Weather Service's National Hurricane Center continues to predict above average activity, particularly between August and October. The latest prediction is scaled back from NHC's first predictions made in May of this year.
That isn't a reason to be complacent, but it points out the difficulty of predicting weather generally, and tropical weather in particular. The "cone of error" for tropical storms ("events", in weatherman parlance) is an example. Even in three days, the cone is often hundreds of miles wide, and the track can perform some odd maneuvers in a short period of time.

I don't mean to be whistling past the graveyard here. There's plenty of 'season' left for hurricanes, even beyond the traditional November 30 "end of hurricane season" marker. As always, we will be ready and we'll be prepared to do the prudent thing, as best we can determine what prudence is from time to time.
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